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Home»Development»India Overtakes US & China to Become World’s Fastest-Growing Economy Post-Covid: Harvard Study Reveals Stunning Shift
Development

India Overtakes US & China to Become World’s Fastest-Growing Economy Post-Covid: Harvard Study Reveals Stunning Shift

Sharad NataniBy Sharad NataniNovember 23, 2025No Comments2 Mins Read
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In a landmark moment for the global economy, Harvard University professor and renowned economist Jason Furman has declared India the fastest-growing economy in the world, outpacing giants like the United States, China, Russia, and Europe in the post-pandemic era.

Sharing data on X (formerly Twitter), Furman revealed a graph comparing GDP performance of major economies from 2019 to 2025—and the results place India in a league of its own.

India’s Unmatched Comeback

While all major economies crashed into recession in 2020, India not only recovered—but surged ahead.

GDP Growth vs Pre-Pandemic Trend

India: Expected to hit +5% by mid-2025 — highest in the world

US: Around +2%

Euro Zone: -3%

China: -5%

Russia: -8%

Furman emphasized that India will be the only major economy to grow above its long-term trend, calling it a structural, not temporary, rise.

From Pandemic Lows to Global Leadership

In 2020, GDP declines hit:

Euro Area: -25%

China: -10%

Russia: -8%

US: -5%

India: -5%

But unlike others, India bounced back rapidly, surpassing its pre-Covid trajectory by 2022, reaching +3% in 2024, and now racing toward +5% in 2025.

What Powered India’s Rise?
According to Furman, four key factors fueled India’s surge:
●Digital public infrastructure
●Investment & policy reforms
●Strong domestic consumption
●Stable macroeconomic environment
He noted that while other countries battled inflation, sanctions, geopolitical tension, and real estate crises, India leveraged stability and innovation.

Why Other Economies Lagged
China: Dragged down by real-estate crisis & long Zero-Covid policies

Russia: Under sanctions post-Ukraine invasion

Euro Zone: Inflation & uncertainty

US: Growth heavily dependent on AI-driven data centers, raising sustainability concerns


Global Confidence in India

Leading agencies echo the same sentiment:

ICRA: 7% GDP growth in Q2 FY26

Moody’s: 7% in 2025, 6.4% in 2026

IMF: Praises India’s digital revolution, manufacturing push & young workforce

With Asia-Pacific projected at just 3.4% growth in 2026, India remains the star performer of the region.

The Big Picture
India’s rise isn’t just a recovery—it’s a reshaping of global economic power. As the world navigates uncertainty, India has emerged as a blueprint for developing nations—powered by technology, reform, and demographic strength.

And for the first time in decades, the world’s fastest-growing economy isn’t a Western superpower or China—it’s India.

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Sharad Natani

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